Why Ghana will no longer sell cocoa to Switzerland
A year ago, Ghana’s President Nana Akufo-Addo became the first African leader to be invited in about 60 years on a state visit to Switzerland. But his visit may not have gone as his host would wish as he announced that his country will soon end the process of selling raw materials to trade partners
A year ago, Ghana’s President Nana Akufo-Addo became the first African leader to be invited in about 60 years on a state visit to Switzerland. But his visit may not have gone as his host would wish as he announced that his country will soon end the process of selling raw materials to trade partners for onward value addition.
Although Akufo-Addo’s visit was about 12 months ago, the details of his announcement have been rekindled by conversations sparked by recent impediments placed by rich countries on a World Trade Organization (WTO) proposal. The proposal would have seen coronavirus vaccines produced in large quantities widely in other countries if pharmaceutical corporations can waive off intellectual property claims.
Fundamental outlook
Ghana is Switzerland’s biggest trading partner in sub-Saharan Africa having produced about 812 thousand tons of cocoa bean in 2018/2019.
The Coffee Cocoa Council (CCC) and the Ghana Cocoa Board (Cocobod) in a statement said the two of the world’s top chocolate sellers were not paying the living income differential (LID).
Ghana has moved towards processing its cocoa. The world and Switzerland will experience a massive shortage since Ghana is responsible for about 45% of the world’s cocoa.
Technical outlook
The chart below shows Cocoa the public would assume after such an announcement that we would see an increase in the price of Cocoa but that is not what we are seeing at the moment.
We foresee more downside pressure to around 2480.4 and 2465.4 before we see a move higher above 2702.3. 2480.4 is also the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level of our previous impulsive move higher.
The current count has us in a corrective zigzag expecting lower levels despite the fundamentals which came out. Ideal entry points would be on a break of wave (b) targeting 2702.3.
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Main Image; The Africa Report.com
